trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +9.5% | -1.0% | 55% | 45% | -3.6% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +14.2% | +3.4% | 62% | 56% | -10.7% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 56% | 48% | -7.8% |
| all | 25 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 56% | 48% | -7.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 48% | -7.8% |
| 10% | -17.4% | 40% | -16.6% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 36% | -24.7% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 16% | -32.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $50 | $47 | −$3 (-6%) |
| Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 2 Haiti? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $28 | $0 | −$28 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $585 | −$253 | -43% |
| Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $110 | −$9 | -8% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $348 | +$152 | +44% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $53 | −$4 | -8% |
| Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5 | Jun 24 | $48 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $215 | +$85 | +40% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $365 | +$35 | +10% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $104 | +$96 | +92% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $344 | +$187 | +55% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $216 | −$212 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5 | Jun 19 | $361 | +$104 | +29% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $192 | +$218 | +114% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $775 | −$770 | -99% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $346 | +$165 | +48% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $196 | +$82 | +42% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | Jun 02 | $332 | +$68 | +20% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | May 24 | $615 | −$60 | -10% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 12 | $607 | +$393 | +65% |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12 | May 10 | $104 | −$17 | -16% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4? | May 10 | $80 | +$10 | +12% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4? | May 04 | $345 | −$245 | -71% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | May 03 | $84 | −$84 | -100% |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | May 03 | $589 | +$211 | +36% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Apr 27 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Apr 18 | $22 | +$2 | +10% |