Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T18:41:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
71 0x71ce…6b6d crypto 719 markets active 1h ago coverage 130d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$617 (+0%) realized +$617 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%697W / 22L
Whale WR96%big bets
Drawdown18%max
Avg bet$239per market
Trades / day15.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$80
7 days−$91
14 days−$54
30 days+$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$564
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -0.5% -10.0% 90% 0% -10.6%
≤30d 141 +0.3% -9.2% 94% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 452 +0.3% -9.3% 96% 0% -9.3%
all 719 +0.4% -9.2% 97% 0% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 0% -9.2%
10% -17.9% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 96% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$32 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.81 per $1 lost it wins $1.81
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

130d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$617
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses697 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)96%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)719 / 719
History coverage130d
Avg bet$239
Trades / day15.6
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 719 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1PM ET Jun 19 $147 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12PM ET Jun 19 $149 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9AM ET Jun 19 $146 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8AM ET Jun 19 $149 −$18 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET Jun 19 $581 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3AM ET Jun 19 $596 −$105 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1AM ET Jun 19 $594 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12AM ET Jun 19 $11 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11PM ET Jun 19 $86 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2PM ET Jun 18 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12PM ET Jun 18 $144 +$6 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9AM ET Jun 18 $146 +$4 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET Jun 18 $149 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7AM ET Jun 18 $591 +$9 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12AM ET Jun 18 $21 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11PM ET Jun 18 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3PM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 17 $148 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $149 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11AM ET Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET Jun 17 $146 −$16 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET Jun 17 $594 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12AM ET Jun 17 $149 −$29 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET Jun 17 $147 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3PM ET Jun 16 $146 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET Jun 16 $147 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET Jun 16 $146 +$4 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10AM ET Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET Jun 16 $146 +$4 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET Jun 16 $598 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET Jun 16 $149 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET Jun 14 $104 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Jun 14 $149 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Jun 14 $149 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $149 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $149 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $146 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $149 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $147 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $149 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $598 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $598 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10PM ET Jun 12 $149 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $149 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $150 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $67 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $52 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $28 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $149 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $146 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $130 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $149 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $587 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $90 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $90 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $90 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $90 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $90 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $90 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $492 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $591 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $599 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $594 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $11 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $87 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $81 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $150 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2076 history records