Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x71d6…56a3
other · 25 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 24
Open positions1
Markets (closed)24 / 25
History coverage166d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit12%
Chart Positions 1 History 24 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5) Dec 28 $1 $0 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 88% −$1
crypto 4% $0
world 4% $0
sports 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 39¢ $1 1h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 44¢ $1 1h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? SELL Yes 48¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 48¢ $1 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 51¢ $1 1h
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 52¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 56¢ $1 1h
Will England win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 56¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 59¢ $1 1h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 60¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 61¢ $1 1h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 66¢ $1 1h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 66¢ $1 1h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 70¢ $1 1h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 70¢ $1 1h
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 73¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? SELL Yes 75¢ $1 1h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? SELL Yes 76¢ $1 1h
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 81¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 80¢ $1 1h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? SELL Yes 90¢ $1 1h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? SELL Yes 55¢ $1 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $1 1h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 49¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 76¢ $1 1h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 56¢ $1 1h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 71¢ $1 1h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 1h
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 1h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 77¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -4.0% -13.1% 0% 0% -13.1%
≤30d 23 -4.0% -13.1% 0% 0% -13.1%
≤90d 23 -4.0% -13.1% 0% 0% -13.1%
all 24 -4.0% -13.1% 0% 0% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.1% 0% -13.1%
10% -21.4% 0% -21.4%
15% -29.0% 0% -29.0%
20% -36.0% 0% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.99 · official $0.99 (match) · 49 history records