Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T15:23:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
71 0x71f8…daae crypto 984 markets active 1h ago coverage 42d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 41d only
✗ bot/MM pace (77 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$510 (-4%) realized −$510 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR72%break-even
Win rate76%750W / 234L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day76.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$20
14 days−$20
30 days−$467
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$322
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (77 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +72%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -2.2% -11.5% 70% 64% -9.9%
≤30d 402 -9.2% -17.8% 72% 68% -16.4%
≤90d 984 -1.3% -10.7% 76% 72% -11.5%
all 984 -1.3% -10.7% 76% 72% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover76.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 72% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 12% -20.0%
15% -27.0% 3% -27.7%
20% -34.2% 0% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$8 · ×0.26 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

42d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$510
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses750 / 234
Open positions0
Markets (closed)984 / 984
History coverage42d ⚠
Avg bet$14
Trades / day76.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 984 Trades
no open positions (19 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$9 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $31 −$23 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $46 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$14 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$6 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $31 −$23 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$12 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$6 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $28 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$11 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $44 +$7 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$7 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$11 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $31 −$6 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $46 −$11 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$8 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $31 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$11 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$7 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$7 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$2 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $7 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records