trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +4.5% | -5.5% | 100% | 0% | -5.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +4.5% | -5.5% | 100% | 0% | -5.5% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +7.5% | -2.7% | 88% | 41% | -4.2% |
| all | 51 | +6.7% | -3.4% | 75% | 43% | -6.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.4% | 43% | -6.2% |
| 10% | -12.7% | 27% | -15.2% |
| 15% | -21.1% | 22% | -23.4% |
| 20% | -28.8% | 10% | -30.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $200 | $199 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $100 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $100 | +$6 | +6% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 21 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Apr 08 | $10 | +$1 | +6% |
| Kings vs. Warriors | Apr 08 | $10 | +$1 | +11% |
| Timberwolves vs. Pacers | Apr 08 | $10 | +$1 | +14% |
| Mavericks vs. Clippers | Apr 08 | $10 | +$2 | +18% |
| Hornets vs. Celtics | Apr 08 | $10 | +$5 | +48% |
| Bulls vs. Wizards | Apr 08 | $10 | +$5 | +48% |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans | Apr 08 | $30 | −$1 | -3% |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Apr 08 | $100 | +$3 | +3% |
| Bucks vs. Nets | Apr 08 | $120 | +$7 | +6% |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Apr 08 | $46 | +$11 | +23% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Apr 08 | $91 | $0 | +0% |
| Kings vs. Magic | Mar 31 | $10 | +$1 | +10% |
| Clippers vs. Pacers | Mar 31 | $10 | +$2 | +25% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam | Mar 31 | $100 | +$9 | +9% |
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Mar 27 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Bulls vs. 76ers | Mar 26 | $10 | +$4 | +45% |
| Lakers vs. Pacers | Mar 26 | $20 | +$4 | +19% |
| Thunder vs. Celtics | Mar 26 | $210 | +$20 | +10% |
| Hawks vs. Pistons | Mar 26 | $10 | +$1 | +12% |
| Nuggets vs. Suns | Mar 25 | $671 | +$64 | +10% |
| Kings vs. Flames | Mar 25 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 25 | $10 | −$2 | -15% |
| Warriors vs. Mavericks | Mar 24 | $288 | +$21 | +7% |
| Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group | Mar 23 | $10 | +$2 | +18% |
| Raptors vs. Suns | Mar 23 | $110 | +$1 | +1% |
| Timberwolves vs. Celtics | Mar 23 | $189 | −$78 | -41% |
| Knicks vs. Nets | Mar 23 | $10 | +$1 | +5% |
| 76ers vs. Kings | Mar 20 | $10 | +$4 | +43% |
| Kings vs. Lakers | Mar 18 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Nets | Mar 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Trail Blazers | Mar 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Rockets | Mar 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Kings | Mar 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Mar 17 | $40 | +$6 | +15% |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers | Mar 12 | $10 | +$12 | +122% |
| Bulls vs. Warriors | Mar 12 | $10 | +$21 | +214% |
| Celtics vs. Spurs | Mar 11 | $10 | +$7 | +73% |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Mar 10 | $6 | +$1 | +19% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Mar 10 | $48 | −$26 | -53% |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Mar 10 | $10 | +$4 | +45% |
| Warriors vs. Jazz | Mar 10 | $11 | +$26 | +233% |
| Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | Mar 09 | $15 | +$1 | +6% |
| Rockets vs. Spurs | Mar 09 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |
| Warriors vs. Rockets | Mar 08 | $29 | +$9 | +32% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Mar 06 | $11 | +$9 | +85% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | Mar 05 | $18 | +$2 | +10% |
| Celtics vs. Bucks | Mar 03 | $6 | −$3 | -48% |