Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:27:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x7209…53ff
crypto · 225 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,018 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,020 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,598
Realized−$1,020
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses120 / 141
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)261 / 225
History coverage1d
Avg bet$152
Trades / day2638.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 261 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,020
7 days−$1,020
14 days−$1,020
30 days−$1,020
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 45¢ 100¢ $392 $877 +$485 (+124%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $326 $668 +$342 (+105%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 59¢ 92¢ $15 $24 +$8 (+54%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 46¢ 46¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 42¢ 54¢ $5 $7 +$1 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 7¢ 8¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+21%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $519 −$519 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $260 −$260 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $72 −$72 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $55 −$29 -53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $38 +$18 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$8 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $132 −$36 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $75 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $78 +$36 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $67 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $205 −$116 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $196 −$88 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $164 +$75 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $171 +$17 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$502
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $6 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $0 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $9 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 261 -12.3% -20.6% 46% 32% -12.1%
≤30d 261 -12.3% -20.6% 46% 32% -12.1%
≤90d 261 -12.3% -20.6% 46% 32% -12.1%
all 261 -12.3% -20.6% 46% 32% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2638.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 32% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 21% -20.5%
15% -35.2% 13% -28.2%
20% -41.5% 7% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,597.83 · official $1,601.81 (match) · 3500 history records