Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:51:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x720f…7e1b
crypto · 30 markets active 0h ago
5.0score
+$12 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$17 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized+$17
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses20 / 8
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)28 / 30
History coverage5d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day6.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days+$17
14 days+$17
30 days+$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 55¢ 52¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Liudmila Samsonova 58¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$19 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +36%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $5 +$1 +17%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 13 $59 −$53 -91%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 08 $30 −$30 -99%
Israel closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $80 +$3 +4%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 08 $35 +$50 +143%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 40% +$40
politics 27% −$3
world 23% +$3
sports 10% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 2h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Milwaukee Brewers 100¢ $6 3h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 85¢ $5 4h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 2¢ $5 4h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 16¢ $59 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)+15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +27.3% +15.1% 71% 68% -4.8%
≤30d 28 +27.3% +15.1% 71% 68% -4.8%
≤90d 28 +27.3% +15.1% 71% 68% -4.8%
all 28 +27.3% +15.1% 71% 68% -4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +15.1% 68% -4.8%
10% +4.1% 61% -14.0%
15% -5.9% 54% -22.3%
20% -15.2% 39% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.36 · official $9.36 (match) · 68 history records