Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:45:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
72 0x7220…a5be crypto 1587 markets active 1h ago coverage 29d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d only
✗ bot/MM pace (66 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$876 (-10%) realized −$876 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR61%break-even
Win rate80%1266W / 321L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day65.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$59
14 days−$276
30 days−$259
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$259
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (66 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 248 -5.5% -14.5% 79% 67% -18.9%
≤30d 1587 -2.3% -11.6% 80% 61% -12.3%
≤90d 1587 -2.3% -11.6% 80% 61% -12.3%
all 1587 -2.3% -11.6% 80% 61% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 61% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 12% -20.7%
15% -27.8% 3% -28.4%
20% -34.9% 1% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
19% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$876
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses1266 / 321
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1587 / 1587
History coverage29d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day65.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1587 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records