Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:09:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
72 0x7238…4f6a crypto 565 markets active 0h ago coverage 33d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$184 (+0%) realized +$184 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate97%546W / 19L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$85per market
Trades / day38.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days+$113
14 days+$197
30 days−$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 144 +0.8% -8.8% 98% 1% -8.7%
≤30d 527 +0.1% -9.4% 96% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 565 +0.3% -9.2% 97% 0% -9.4%
all 565 +0.3% -9.2% 97% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover38.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 0% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.8% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$48 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.09 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

33d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$184
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses546 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)565 / 565
History coverage33d
Avg bet$85
Trades / day38.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 565 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $110 −$7 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $80 −$39 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $40 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $60 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $60 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $60 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $40 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $60 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $60 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1835 history records