Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T17:50:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
72 0x723c…0a67 crypto 40 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (195 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$36 (-1%) realized −$36 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate90%36W / 4L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$148per market
Trades / day195.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (195 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -1.1% -10.5% 90% 8% -9.4%
≤30d 40 -1.1% -10.5% 90% 8% -9.4%
≤90d 40 -1.1% -10.5% 90% 8% -9.4%
all 40 -1.1% -10.5% 90% 8% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover195.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 8% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 2% -18.0%
15% -26.9% 0% -26.0%
20% -34.1% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 23% · top 2 40% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$30 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.09 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses36 / 4
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)40 / 40
History coverage1d
Avg bet$148
Trades / day195.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 40 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 26 $588 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 26 $80 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 26 $960 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 26 $1,021 +$23 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 26 $960 +$14 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 26 $970 +$30 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 26 $42 −$27 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 26 $78 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 26 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 26 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 26 $38 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 26 $78 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $70 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 26 $36 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 26 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 26 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 26 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 26 $44 −$28 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 26 $44 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 26 $36 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 26 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 26 $47 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 26 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 26 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 26 $48 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 26 $42 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 26 $34 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 26 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 26 $39 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 26 $34 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 26 $38 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 26 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 26 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 26 $16 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 26 $27 −$5 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 26 $98 −$60 -61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $465 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $58 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $588 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $69 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $369 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $15 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 224 history records