Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x724d…8dea
crypto · 182 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$72,880 +71%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$71,698 · open −$3,140
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49,456
Realized+$71,698
Unrealized−$3,140
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses197 / 122
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Open positions229
Markets (closed)319 / 182
History coverage1d
Avg bet$568
Trades / day3387.0
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 229 History 319 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$71,698
7 days+$71,698
14 days+$71,698
30 days+$71,698
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 49¢ 80¢ $3,994 $6,610 +$2,616 (+65%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? No 94¢ 98¢ $2,092 $2,173 +$81 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $1,935 $1,988 +$53 (+3%)
XRP Up or Down on June 12? Up 89¢ 94¢ $1,333 $1,414 +$81 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 81¢ 84¢ $1,273 $1,309 +$36 (+3%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 96¢ 95¢ $1,294 $1,284 −$10 (-1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 81¢ 81¢ $1,173 $1,170 −$3 (-0%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 41¢ 20¢ $2,307 $1,110 −$1,197 (-52%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? No 96¢ 100¢ $1,034 $1,077 +$43 (+4%)
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $1,018 $1,044 +$27 (+3%)
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 54¢ 56¢ $889 $938 +$49 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Down 96¢ 98¢ $880 $907 +$27 (+3%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 18¢ 23¢ $688 $854 +$167 (+24%)
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 53¢ 56¢ $769 $812 +$43 (+6%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 54¢ 80¢ $534 $795 +$261 (+49%)
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Up 86¢ 90¢ $689 $726 +$37 (+5%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 9¢ 15¢ $403 $676 +$272 (+68%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 15? No 99¢ 99¢ $651 $653 +$2 (+0%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 12? No 98¢ 98¢ $647 $647 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 13? Yes 78¢ 82¢ $584 $614 +$30 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Up 85¢ 83¢ $630 $613 −$17 (-3%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 12? No 97¢ 97¢ $553 $552 −$1 (-0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 12? No 98¢ 99¢ $486 $491 +$5 (+1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 23¢ 19¢ $571 $465 −$106 (-19%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 12? No 97¢ 99¢ $446 $457 +$11 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 12 $1,935 +$107 +6%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 15 Jun 12 $3 +$302 +10515%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on Septembe Jun 12 $17 +$892 +5115%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 11 Jun 12 $16 +$810 +4991%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on October Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? Jun 12 $211 +$3,333 +1579%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on December 15? Jun 12 $8 +$42 +498%
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Ye Jun 12 $277 +$1,418 +512%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on Septembe Jun 12 $789 −$813 -103%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on December Jun 12 $1 +$204 +20715%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 1 Jun 12 $310 +$1,541 +497%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on August 27? Jun 12 $284 +$1,133 +399%
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awa Jun 12 $32 +$82 +260%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on October Jun 12 $162 −$583 -360%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on August 22? Jun 12 $224 −$40 -18%
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50? Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? Jun 12 $282 −$282 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on Septembe Jun 12 $754 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November Jun 12 $44 −$24 -54%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on Septembe Jun 12 $75 +$44 +58%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on Septembe Jun 12 $73 +$383 +528%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October Jun 12 $665 −$334 -50%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 12 $33 +$521 +1600%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $122,000 and $124,000 on Septembe Jun 12 $31 +$88 +282%
Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on Septembe Jun 12 $119 −$735 -617%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 18? Jun 12 $15 −$16 -107%
Will Kyle Shanahan win NFL Coach of the Year? Jun 12 $13 +$1,084 +8169%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 11 Jun 12 $22 +$922 +4160%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on Septembe Jun 12 $128 +$17 +13%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October Jun 12 $971 −$1,251 -129%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on Septembe Jun 12 $47 +$110 +237%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on Septembe Jun 12 $18 +$287 +1552%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Jun 12 $516 −$508 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on Septembe Jun 12 $297 −$200 -67%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on September 3? Jun 12 $53 +$187 +350%
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 12 $86 +$3,521 +4071%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 8? Jun 12 $43 +$138 +317%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $120K on August 22? Jun 12 $100 +$208 +209%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 3 Jun 12 $7 +$376 +5361%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on October 2? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beac Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on Septembe Jun 12 $1,341 −$1,261 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October Jun 12 $23 +$261 +1155%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on Septembe Jun 12 $50 +$883 +1779%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on September 1? Jun 12 $455 +$307 +68%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on Septembe Jun 12 $151 −$47 -31%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $124,000 on September 26? Jun 12 $22 +$48 +216%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 2 Jun 12 $0 +$297 +635403%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% +$6,329
other 15% −$1,859
politics 0% +$184
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 6¢ $6 0m
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 14? BUY No 27¢ $14 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 17¢ $17 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 17¢ $8 0m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $16 0m
XRP Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 6¢ $6 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $16 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $16 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 14¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 14¢ $7 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $16 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $16 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 14¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 14¢ $7 0m
Solana Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 9¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 14¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 13¢ $2 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $17 1m
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 16¢ $8 1m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 8¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 13¢ $14 1m
Solana Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 8¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 13¢ $7 2m
XRP Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 6¢ $3 2m
Solana Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 8¢ $4 2m
Solana Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 7¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 6¢ $3 2m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 20¢ $11 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+407.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 319 +460.9% +407.5% 62% 52% +16.3%
≤30d 319 +460.9% +407.5% 62% 52% +16.3%
≤90d 319 +460.9% +407.5% 62% 52% +16.3%
all 319 +460.9% +407.5% 62% 52% +16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3387.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +407.5% 52% +16.3%
10% ← realistic here +358.9% 48% +5.2%
15% +314.6% 44% -5.0%
20% +274.0% 41% -14.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49,455.70 · official $49,454.87 (match) · 3500 history records