trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 29% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 43% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 43% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 29 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 48% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.5% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -19.1% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -26.9% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -34.0% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 21 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 20 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Jun 20 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 19 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 19 | $68 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 17 | $43 | −$1 | -1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $51 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $28 | $0 | +2% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 06 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 05 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 02 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 02 | $44 | −$1 | -2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 28 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 26 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 25 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 | May 23 | $1 | $0 | -17% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | May 23 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship | May 22 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | May 22 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers retire? | May 21 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? | May 20 | $12 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election? | May 20 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | May 19 | $2 | $0 | -19% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? | May 19 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2025? | May 16 | $26 | $0 | +0% |