Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:45:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x725b…662d
crypto · 1031 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$140 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$140 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$140
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses522 / 509
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1031 / 1031
History coverage52d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day29.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1031 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$3
14 days+$37
30 days−$142
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$9 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$140
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 589 -0.1% -9.6% 53% 45% -9.7%
≤30d 1014 -0.6% -10.1% 51% 44% -12.3%
≤90d 1031 -0.2% -9.7% 51% 44% -12.2%
all 1031 -0.2% -9.7% 51% 44% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 44% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 38% -20.6%
15% -26.2% 28% -28.3%
20% -33.4% 19% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2166 history records