Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:02:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x725e…b679
crypto · 1097 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$115 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$115 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$115
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses758 / 337
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1095 / 1097
Avg bet$6
Trades / day54.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1095 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$1
14 days−$34
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 12? No 99¢ 99¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 12? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 11? Jun 11 $13 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $13 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 10? Jun 10 $17 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9? Jun 09 $20 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 9? Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 9? Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 9? Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 9? Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 8? Jun 08 $11 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 8? Jun 08 $30 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 8? Jun 07 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 7? Jun 07 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 7? Jun 07 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 7? Jun 07 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 7? Jun 07 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 7? Jun 07 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 7? Jun 07 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 6? Jun 06 $9 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 6? Jun 06 $9 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 6? Jun 06 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 6? Jun 06 $10 −$6 -63%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on June 6? Jun 06 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on June 6? Jun 06 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on June 6? Jun 06 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 5? Jun 05 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 05 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June Jun 05 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 5? Jun 05 $8 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 5? Jun 05 $10 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 5? Jun 05 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5? Jun 05 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5? Jun 05 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 5? Jun 05 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or higher on June 5? Jun 05 $20 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 5? Jun 05 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 5? Jun 05 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 5? Jun 05 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 76% −$63
crypto 24% −$51
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 3m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $0 8h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $3 8h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $8 8h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $4 8h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 8h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $9 8h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $10 9h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $5 11h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $6 11h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $6 12h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $4 12h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $11 16h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $10 17h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $15 18h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $10 20h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $10 21h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $10 24h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $13 24h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $13 27h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $10 28h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $14 31h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $1 32h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 11? SELL No 100¢ $9 32h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 11? BUY No 97¢ $10 32h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $13 40h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $10 45h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 10? BUY No 98¢ $10 2d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 10? SELL No 100¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 +0.0% -9.5% 96% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 502 -1.1% -10.5% 91% 0% -10.6%
≤90d 1095 -1.5% -10.9% 69% 12% -11.1%
all 1095 -1.5% -10.9% 69% 12% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 12% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 6% -19.6%
15% -27.2% 0% -27.3%
20% -34.3% 0% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.19 · official $20.19 (match) · 3500 history records