Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x7261…92f9
other · 1333 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$2,017 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,015 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$229
Realized−$2,015
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses1281 / 202
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions21
Markets (closed)1483 / 1333
Avg bet$41
Trades / day44.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit49%
Chart Positions 21 History 1483 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,028
7 days−$2,013
14 days−$2,040
30 days−$2,082
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
WIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $59 $59 +$0 (+0%)
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 98¢ 98¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-0%)
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 96¢ 96¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 97¢ 96¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 68¢ 69¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 96¢ 96¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Netanyahu out by June 30? No 97¢ 98¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 96¢ 97¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 97¢ 97¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Yes 92¢ 90¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? Yes 88¢ 88¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 80¢ 78¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? Yes 75¢ 74¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 77¢ 76¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30? Yes 15¢ 2¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-86%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 3PM ET Up 100¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 3PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Rockets vs. Kings Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Clippers vs. Hawks Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Nets vs. 76ers Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bucks vs. Lakers Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Will Sweden win on 2025-11-18? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Rockets vs. Mavericks Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Rockets vs. Lakers Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? Jun 12 $1 −$2 -189%
Will FC København vs. Qairat FK end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Korda Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-17? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Kings vs. Raptors Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Spurs vs. Lakers Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Canucks vs. Rangers Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Nets vs. Pistons Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
Will Liverpool FC vs. PSV end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedev Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Magic vs. Knicks Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin all time high before 2026? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Clippers vs. Pistons Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hawks vs. Knicks Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Pistons vs. Mavericks Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 54% +$66
other 46% −$42
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $30 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $20 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $40 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $50 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $100 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4h
WIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup? BUY Yes 98¢ $49 12h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $18 12h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 87¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $100 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $200 14h
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu BUY Yes 97¢ $10 15h
Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu BUY Yes 97¢ $10 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 261 -64.6% -68.0% 35% 1% -32.4%
≤30d 555 -30.9% -37.5% 67% 2% -19.0%
≤90d 1483 -11.7% -20.1% 86% 2% -12.7%
all 1483 -11.7% -20.1% 86% 2% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.1% 2% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.8% 1% -21.0%
15% -34.7% 0% -28.7%
20% -41.1% 0% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $229.31 · official $229.31 (match) · 3500 history records