trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -35.3% | -41.5% | 0% | 0% | -41.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -16.7% | -24.6% | 50% | 0% | -16.2% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -16.7% | -24.6% | 17% | 0% | -12.0% |
| all | 25 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 16% | 8% | +8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.2% | 8% | +8.7% |
| 10% | -22.4% | 8% | -1.7% |
| 15% | -29.9% | 8% | -11.2% |
| 20% | -36.8% | 8% | -19.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | -35% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 22? | May 24 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 20 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 17 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 13 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 09 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 06 | $1 | −$1 | -60% |
| Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Apr 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 01 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 28 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 25 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 20 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 16 | $1 | $0 | -10% |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Mar 12 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 09 | $1 | $0 | -10% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 06 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Feb 25 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 21 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Feb 17 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Feb 13 | $1 | $0 | -33% |
| Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Feb 11 | $1 | +$1 | +75% |
| Blues vs. Stars | Feb 11 | $239 | +$123 | +52% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 09 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Feb 04 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 30 | $106 | $0 | -0% |