Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:29:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x726f…d8e7
crypto · 147 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$16,602 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18,245 · open −$2,025
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$48,105
Realized+$18,245
Unrealized−$2,025
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses94 / 16
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Open positions49
Markets (closed)110 / 147
Avg bet$1,399
Trades / day719.0
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 49 History 110 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$294
7 days+$18,245
14 days+$18,245
30 days+$18,245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? No 80¢ 90¢ $2,837 $3,220 +$383 (+13%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? No 65¢ 85¢ $2,060 $2,678 +$618 (+30%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 89¢ 95¢ $2,371 $2,526 +$155 (+7%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? No 93¢ 97¢ $2,220 $2,322 +$102 (+5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Yes 92¢ 98¢ $2,163 $2,301 +$138 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 90¢ 90¢ $2,285 $2,266 −$19 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? No 82¢ 98¢ $1,785 $2,149 +$364 (+20%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? No 89¢ 99¢ $1,784 $1,977 +$193 (+11%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? Yes 53¢ 84¢ $1,203 $1,901 +$698 (+58%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Yes 90¢ 100¢ $1,557 $1,717 +$160 (+10%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? No 48¢ 72¢ $1,074 $1,623 +$548 (+51%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14? No 93¢ 99¢ $1,482 $1,586 +$104 (+7%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 89¢ 94¢ $1,388 $1,461 +$73 (+5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? No 94¢ 99¢ $1,356 $1,423 +$67 (+5%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Yes 39¢ 48¢ $922 $1,145 +$223 (+24%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? No 56¢ 64¢ $920 $1,052 +$132 (+14%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14? No 98¢ 99¢ $1,018 $1,027 +$9 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? No 98¢ 98¢ $1,003 $1,004 +$1 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? No 70¢ 81¢ $809 $946 +$137 (+17%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? No 77¢ 88¢ $807 $922 +$115 (+14%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 12? No 98¢ 99¢ $890 $896 +$6 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 8-14? No 98¢ 100¢ $833 $847 +$15 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $776 $808 +$32 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? No 95¢ 98¢ $757 $782 +$24 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? No 48¢ 52¢ $713 $773 +$60 (+8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 1-7? Jun 12 $4 +$204 +5129%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 30? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 5? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? Jun 12 $134 +$228 +170%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $958 +$87 +9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $232 +$4 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $436 +$14 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,355 +$51 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $937 +$257 +27%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $326 +$8 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,207 +$85 +7%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $148 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $6,200 +$595 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $47 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $6,434 −$218 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $266 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $5,654 −$355 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3,268 +$101 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,157 +$18 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,254 +$54 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3,598 +$250 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $70 +$2 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $418 +$12 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $973 +$50 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $421 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $4,307 −$150 -4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $148 +$2 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $667 +$13 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,141 +$129 +11%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $669 +$33 +5%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $289 +$11 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,241 +$296 +24%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,091 +$259 +24%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $314 +$6 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $410 +$11 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $147 +$3 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,192 −$33 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $5,298 −$233 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $4,407 +$90 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $2,402 +$100 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $870 +$10 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $423 +$7 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $5,318 +$832 +16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,052 +$35 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,663 +$72 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $9,025 −$1,698 -19%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $8,134 −$1,155 -14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$15,797
other 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 30¢ $1 0m
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 9¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 9¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 9¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 9¢ $3 10m
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? BUY No 95¢ $11 13m
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL Yes 15¢ $5 36m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 58¢ $124 36m
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 25¢ $74 37m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 56¢ $0 39m
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL Yes 10¢ $11 40m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 56¢ $22 40m
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? BUY No 95¢ $17 43m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 57¢ $322 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 91¢ $477 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 91¢ $202 44m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 54¢ $472 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 91¢ $16 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 91¢ $51 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 91¢ $51 45m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 55¢ $2 45m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 55¢ $2 45m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 55¢ $2 45m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 55¢ $2 46m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 55¢ $2 46m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $811 46m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 57¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 92¢ $129 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 92¢ $414 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 92¢ $12 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)+41.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 +56.2% +41.4% 85% 29% -1.2%
≤30d 110 +56.2% +41.4% 85% 29% -1.2%
≤90d 110 +56.2% +41.4% 85% 29% -1.2%
all 110 +56.2% +41.4% 85% 29% -1.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover719.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +41.4% 29% -1.2%
10% +27.8% 22% -10.7%
15% ← realistic here +15.5% 13% -19.3%
20% +4.2% 10% -27.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48,105.03 · official $48,113.95 (match) · 3500 history records