Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T13:49:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
72 0x727d…e016 other 90 markets active 0h ago coverage 43d
TRAPdo not copy
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$266 (-15%) realized −$266 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate58%52W / 38L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day4.4pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit50%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 55% −$99
sports 19% −$123
crypto 10% −$1
finance 7% −$23
world 5% −$10
politics 3% −$9
tech 2% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +1.2% -8.5% 100% 0% -8.6%
≤30d 44 -5.1% -14.1% 73% 0% -12.0%
≤90d 90 -9.9% -18.5% 58% 8% -23.7%
all 90 -9.9% -18.5% 58% 8% -23.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.5% 8% -23.7%
10% -26.3% 6% -31.0%
15% -33.4% 4% -37.7%
20% -40.0% 2% -43.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 28% · top 2 42% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
87% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$8 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.11 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

43d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$266
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses52 / 38
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)90 / 90
History coverage43d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day4.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 90 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 21 $13 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 21 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 21 $4 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 21 $2 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 21 $10 $0 +2%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 22 $9 −$3 -34%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? May 22 $5 −$1 -12%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? May 22 $30 −$1 -3%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 22 $6 $0 -9%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 22? May 22 $10 $0 -1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? May 22 $15 $0 -1%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 22 $9 −$1 -6%
Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $15 −$1 -4%
Will Switzerland score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $49 −$5 -10%
Will Paraguay score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $68 −$8 -11%
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc May 22 $20 −$13 -64%
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in May? May 22 $8 −$4 -42%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,450 Week of May 18 2026? May 22 $7 $0 -4%
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31? May 22 $51 −$38 -74%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $220? May 22 $18 −$10 -55%
3Jane FDV above $80M one day after launch? May 22 $7 −$6 -88%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 22? May 22 $43 −$13 -31%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5 May 22 $10 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $13 5m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 15m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 26m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 46m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 50m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 51m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 59m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 241 history records