Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T06:02:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
72 0x727e…b35d sports 135 markets active 2h ago coverage 162d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$149 (-3%) realized −$149 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate40%54W / 81L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$35per market
Trades / day3.1pace
Fees−$11est.
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$74
7 days−$131
14 days−$131
30 days−$131
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 82% −$269
other 17% −$48
world 1% +$6
crypto 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-24.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -50.6% -55.3% 12% 6% -34.6%
≤30d 16 -50.6% -55.3% 12% 6% -34.6%
≤90d 26 -51.4% -56.0% 12% 4% -32.9%
all 135 -16.2% -24.2% 40% 20% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.2% 20% -13.6%
10% -31.4% 8% -21.8%
15% -38.1% 5% -29.4%
20% -44.1% 2% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 26% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -26% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
46% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -26% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$8 · ×0.73 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.49 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

162d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$149
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses54 / 81
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)135 / 135
History coverage162d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 135 Trades
no open positions (20 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $96 −$20 -20%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? Jun 27 $80 +$10 +12%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner Jun 27 $112 −$32 -28%
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Red Feet - Map 1 Winner Jun 27 $107 −$13 -12%
Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner Jun 27 $60 −$19 -33%
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer - Map 2 Winner Jun 24 $48 −$20 -41%
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score Jun 24 $20 −$3 -14%
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score Jun 21 $15 −$3 -20%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 21 $15 −$1 -9%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Playof Jun 21 $3 −$1 -16%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner Jun 21 $17 $0 +2%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winner Jun 21 $13 −$6 -51%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 21 $14 −$7 -50%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 21 $31 −$7 -21%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 21 $17 −$4 -24%
Rainbow Six Siege: My Queen vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 21 $12 −$6 -48%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner Apr 06 $23 −$1 -4%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers L Apr 06 $11 $0 -1%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winner Apr 06 $17 −$4 -22%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 1 Winner Apr 06 $14 $0 -2%
Lakers vs. Bulls Apr 06 $48 +$1 +2%
Will CF América win on 2026-01-18? Apr 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 16? Apr 06 $2 −$2 -100%
North Alabama Lions vs. Central Arkansas Bears (W) Apr 06 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage Apr 06 $11 −$2 -22%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) Apr 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Mar 09 $8 $0 -6%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Mar 09 $7 −$1 -20%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner Mar 09 $5 $0 +4%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Mar 09 $9 $0 -5%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winne Mar 02 $15 $0 -0%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winne Mar 02 $53 −$15 -28%
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Ch Feb 23 $95 −$2 -2%
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winne Feb 23 $57 −$2 -4%
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winne Feb 23 $53 −$26 -48%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Feb 16 $32 −$20 -61%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage Feb 16 $28 +$1 +4%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner Feb 11 $105 −$41 -39%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals Feb 11 $93 −$2 -2%
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-In Feb 08 $49 −$47 -96%
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-08? Feb 08 $34 +$15 +44%
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-07? Feb 07 $32 +$78 +246%
Will Norwich City FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw? Feb 07 $33 −$1 -4%
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-07? Feb 07 $20 $0 -1%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner Feb 07 $51 +$11 +21%
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP R Feb 07 $51 $0 +1%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winner Feb 07 $7 $0 -2%
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-02-07? Feb 07 $46 +$4 +9%
Valorant: DRX vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 Winner Feb 07 $21 +$5 +25%
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-07? Feb 07 $7 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? SELL No 100¢ $103 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 28¢ $20 5h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? BUY No 73¢ $76 5h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? BUY No 49¢ $30 15h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? SELL Yes 51¢ $6 15h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 52¢ $51 15h
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner SELL Inner Circle Esports 19¢ $25 15h
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner SELL Sharks 71¢ $55 15h
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner BUY Sharks 50¢ $4 16h
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner BUY Sharks 50¢ $36 16h
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner BUY Inner Circle Esports 53¢ $72 16h
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Red Feet - Map 1 Winner SELL Vasco Esports 50¢ $53 16h
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Red Feet - Map 1 Winner SELL Red Feet 49¢ $41 16h
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Red Feet - Map 1 Winner BUY Red Feet 41¢ $36 18h
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Red Feet - Map 1 Winner BUY Vasco Esports 66¢ $71 18h
Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner SELL Just Players 100¢ $60 19h
Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit Academy 42¢ $20 20h
Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner BUY Just Players 65¢ $40 20h
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer - Map 2 Winner SELL shimmer 100¢ $47 4d
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer - Map 2 Winner BUY shimmer 59¢ $28 4d
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer - Map 2 Winner BUY Atrix Esports 46¢ $20 4d
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 27¢ $18 4d
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 30¢ $20 4d
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 35¢ $7 6d
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score BUY No 66¢ $8 6d
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner SELL Zero Tenacity 65¢ $6 6d
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Zero Tenacity 69¢ $6 6d
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner SELL Zero Tenacity 63¢ $8 6d
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Playof SELL Flame Team 27¢ $3 6d
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner BUY Zero Tenacity 69¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 517 history records