Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:15:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x727e…e1c8
sports · 19 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$356 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$327 · open −$120
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$152
Realized−$327
Unrealized−$120
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses9 / 8
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$118
Open positions2
Markets (closed)17 / 19
History coverage2d
Avg bet$622
Trades / day43.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 2 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$327
7 days−$327
14 days−$327
30 days−$327
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner T1 50¢ 100¢ $76 $152 +$76 (+100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 36¢ 0¢ $196 $0 −$196 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,103 −$674 -61%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1,002 +$288 +29%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $100 +$102 +102%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $1,000 $0 -0%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1,001 +$328 +33%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $198 −$198 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1,000 +$7 +1%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $256 −$256 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $288 −$288 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,007 +$280 +28%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,006 +$217 +22%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$87 +870%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1,003 +$110 +11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $664 −$664 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $200 +$539 +269%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$735
other 8% +$288
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $100 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $100 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $12 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $934 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 53¢ $7 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $558 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 50¢ $815 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $501 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 54¢ $501 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 32¢ $100 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 61¢ $430 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 70¢ $789 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 69¢ $205 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $9 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 SELL Under 99¢ $70 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $629 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $639 8h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 SELL Under 99¢ $14 8h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 SELL Under 99¢ $112 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 76¢ $501 9h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 76¢ $501 9h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 BUY Under 48¢ $100 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $657 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $25 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $25 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $25 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $10 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $25 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $132 11h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $25 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+27.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +41.4% +27.9% 53% 47% -12.5%
≤30d 17 +41.4% +27.9% 53% 47% -12.5%
≤90d 17 +41.4% +27.9% 53% 47% -12.5%
all 17 +41.4% +27.9% 53% 47% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +27.9% 47% -12.5%
10% +15.7% 35% -20.8%
15% ← realistic here +4.5% 18% -28.5%
20% -5.7% 18% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $151.86 · official $151.86 (match) · 102 history records