Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:42:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x7290…9c92
other · 454 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$163 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$147 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized−$147
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses109 / 332
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions13
Markets (closed)441 / 454
History coverage22d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day28.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit46%
Chart Positions 13 History 441 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$70
14 days−$138
30 days−$147
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 20¢ 20¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 50¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) Diego Lopes 58¢ 56¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) Kyle Daukaus 27¢ 26¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) Michael Chandler 17¢ 17¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Aiemann Zahabi 22¢ 22¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Derrick Lewis 22¢ 22¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 21¢ 19¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? Yes 43¢ 9¢ $4 $1 −$4 (-79%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Thailand Indonesia 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire PortlandFire 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 +$7 +190%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Thailand Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1 +$2 +136%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $5 −$2 -51%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $3 −$1 -49%
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 +$1 +92%
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? Jun 10 $2 +$3 +173%
Cattolica (Doubles): Jecan/Pavel vs Logrippo/Ricci Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Hurghada: Prathyusha Rachapudi vs Sandra Samir Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Argentina vs. Iceland end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 +$2 +188%
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Brasilia: Jefferson Wendler Filho vs Alex Hernandez Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Azerbaijan vs. San Marino end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 $0 +9%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 +$3 +206%
Will Myanmar win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Indonesia vs. Mozambique end in a draw? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $4 +$1 +29%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Hurghada: Valentina Ryser vs Amra Sadikovic Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Hurghada: Olga Danilova vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Yuka Hosoki Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Fiji vs. Vanuatu end in a draw? Jun 09 $1 +$4 +383%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 60% −$103
sports 40% −$56
world 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Justin Gaethje 20¢ $6 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Alex Pereira 50¢ $5 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main BUY Aiemann Zahabi 22¢ $3 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Derrick Lewis 22¢ $2 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car BUY Diego Lopes 58¢ $3 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) BUY Kyle Daukaus 27¢ $3 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai BUY Michael Chandler 17¢ $3 1h
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 43¢ $5 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 93¢ $10 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $4 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 49¢ $5 2h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 4h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $3 4h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 19h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 19h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever BUY Chicago Sky 21¢ $1 24h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY PortlandFire 18¢ $1 24h
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Thailand BUY Indonesia 21¢ $1 24h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 25h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 26h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $2 28h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 28h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 28h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 94¢ $1 44h
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 39¢ $1 45h
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-10? SELL Yes 96¢ $2 46h
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-23.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 134 -33.6% -39.9% 22% 19% -39.6%
≤30d 441 -15.4% -23.5% 25% 24% -27.0%
≤90d 441 -15.4% -23.5% 25% 24% -27.0%
all 441 -15.4% -23.5% 25% 24% -27.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.5% 24% -27.0%
10% ← realistic here -30.8% 23% -34.0%
15% -37.5% 22% -40.3%
20% -43.6% 22% -46.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.18 · official $31.19 (match) · 942 history records