Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:24:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x72b2…5548
other · 196 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,021 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,720 · open +$57
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$959
Realized−$1,720
Unrealized+$57
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses50 / 79
Est. fees paid−$151
Open positions67
Markets (closed)129 / 196
History coverage104d
Avg bet$188
Trades / day32.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 67 History 129 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$3
14 days+$36
30 days−$188
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes 38¢ 52¢ $170 $234 +$64 (+38%)
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 24¢ 26¢ $114 $127 +$13 (+12%)
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes 19¢ 20¢ $84 $84 +$0 (+0%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 20¢ 17¢ $92 $77 −$15 (-16%)
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Yes 17¢ 100¢ $11 $65 +$54 (+492%)
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes 27¢ 47¢ $31 $53 +$22 (+72%)
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes 15¢ 16¢ $50 $52 +$1 (+3%)
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes 24¢ 17¢ $56 $40 −$16 (-28%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 23¢ 23¢ $39 $40 +$0 (+1%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes 25¢ 22¢ $41 $35 −$6 (-14%)
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes 45¢ 46¢ $27 $27 +$1 (+3%)
US recession by end of 2026? Yes 19¢ 16¢ $30 $26 −$4 (-13%)
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 15¢ 15¢ $24 $25 +$0 (+1%)
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes 10¢ 6¢ $28 $18 −$10 (-35%)
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes 5¢ 10¢ $9 $18 +$9 (+104%)
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will Travis Kelce retire before next season? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $7 $5 −$3 (-34%)
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $7 $5 −$2 (-30%)
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes 53¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+5%)
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 82¢ 93¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+13%)
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes 72¢ 80¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? Yes 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes 66¢ 80¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? Yes 79¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele Jun 12 $270 +$7 +2%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $31 −$4 -12%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Jun 10 $3 $0 +11%
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Jun 02 $466 +$37 +8%
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 02 $28 +$55 +197%
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 31 $9 −$1 -12%
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 31 $62 −$59 -95%
Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 29 $6 −$4 -57%
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? May 28 $12 −$8 -65%
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? May 27 $66 −$1 -2%
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open? May 26 $5 $0 -3%
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33? May 25 $173 +$9 +5%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? May 22 $502 −$22 -4%
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian May 22 $491 −$33 -7%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 21 $225 −$2 -1%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? May 21 $763 −$19 -2%
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? May 20 $79 −$4 -5%
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? May 20 $258 +$7 +3%
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? May 19 $490 −$41 -8%
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026? May 19 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? May 19 $261 −$21 -8%
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference? May 19 $20 +$2 +11%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 19 $305 +$4 +1%
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference? May 19 $151 −$145 -96%
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? May 18 $75 −$1 -2%
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? May 18 $17 −$1 -4%
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? May 17 $624 +$14 +2%
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? May 16 $24 $0 +1%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 16 $491 +$30 +6%
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? May 16 $7 $0 -5%
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup? May 16 $1,144 +$62 +5%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 16 $273 +$4 +1%
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 16 $30 −$4 -13%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? May 16 $227 −$33 -15%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? May 15 $104 −$15 -14%
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? May 14 $319 +$224 +70%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? May 14 $56 −$6 -11%
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? May 13 $694 +$6 +1%
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? May 12 $302 +$21 +7%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian president May 11 $8 +$2 +21%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? May 10 $2,878 −$1,552 -54%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm el May 09 $212 +$15 +7%
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? May 09 $36 +$1 +2%
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? May 04 $4 $0 +2%
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? May 03 $1 $0 -13%
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the May 02 $310 −$16 -5%
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? May 01 $70 −$5 -7%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Apr 29 $297 −$11 -4%
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? Apr 27 $265 +$24 +9%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Apr 27 $51 −$1 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 41% −$1,886
politics 20% $0
sports 18% +$157
world 8% −$22
culture 5% −$36
economics 5% +$25
tech 3% +$101
finance 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 14¢ $4 13m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 14¢ $4 13m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 14¢ $4 13m
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $14 16m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 14¢ $1 16m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 14¢ $2 16m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 12¢ $1 19m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 14¢ $14 22m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 14¢ $2 24m
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 28m
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? SELL Yes 17¢ $2 28m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 44m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 14¢ $1 44m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 14¢ $1 44m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 18¢ $6 46m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 14¢ $4 47m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 20¢ $6 47m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 14¢ $2 47m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 14¢ $2 47m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 20¢ $3 47m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 14¢ $2 47m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 18¢ $3 47m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 14¢ $2 47m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 14¢ $14 47m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 14¢ $8 48m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 14¢ $2 48m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 14¢ $31 50m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 14¢ $12 50m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 10¢ $3 50m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 10¢ $3 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+166.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +0.4% -9.2% 67% 33% -8.6%
≤30d 35 +327.2% +286.5% 37% 29% -15.9%
≤90d 115 +212.7% +182.9% 37% 23% -24.8%
all 129 +194.7% +166.7% 39% 25% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +166.7% 25% -22.1%
10% ← realistic here +141.1% 19% -29.6%
15% +117.8% 19% -36.4%
20% +96.5% 18% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $958.57 · official $946.05 · 3500 history records