trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +3.1% | -6.7% | 46% | 46% | -1.3% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -12.0% | -20.4% | 38% | 38% | -7.9% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -12.0% | -20.4% | 38% | 38% | -7.9% |
| all | 26 | -12.0% | -20.4% | 38% | 38% | -7.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.4% | 38% | -7.9% |
| 10% | -28.0% | 38% | -16.7% |
| 15% | -34.9% | 38% | -24.8% |
| 20% | -41.3% | 35% | -32.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $122 | +$253 | +206% |
| Spread: Ecuador (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $162 | +$74 | +46% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $154 | −$150 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $102 | +$148 | +146% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$71 | +70% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $158 | +$136 | +86% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $80 | +$148 | +186% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $105 | −$100 | -96% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $51 | +$56 | +109% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Jun 12 | $103 | +$79 | +76% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $53 | +$79 | +149% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19? | May 30 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | May 30 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | May 30 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | May 30 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | May 30 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | May 30 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | May 30 | $80 | +$170 | +214% |