trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 17% | 0% | -10.6% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -11.3% | -19.7% | 22% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -11.3% | -19.7% | 22% | 0% | -10.5% |
| all | 18 | -15.7% | -23.7% | 39% | 0% | -12.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.7% | 0% | -12.5% |
| 10% | -31.0% | 0% | -20.9% |
| 15% | -37.7% | 0% | -28.5% |
| 20% | -43.8% | 0% | -35.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $54 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $43 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 12 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $37 | −$2 | -6% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +7% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 10 | $35 | $0 | -1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 09 | $18 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Rumble buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $7 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elec | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 25 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Apr 18? | Apr 18 | $3 | −$2 | -92% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 29 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in February 20 | Mar 20 | $12 | $0 | +3% |
| Will "Instruments of a Beating Heart" win Best Documentary Short Film | Mar 20 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will 'The Brutalist' win 0 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards? | Mar 02 | $11 | $0 | +0% |