Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T20:02:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
72 0x72c1…d5bb crypto 18 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (58 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$48 (-5%) realized −$48 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate56%10W / 8L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$54per market
Trades / day58.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (58 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -14.4% -22.6% 56% 33% -10.9%
≤30d 18 -14.4% -22.6% 56% 33% -10.9%
≤90d 18 -14.4% -22.6% 56% 33% -10.9%
all 18 -14.4% -22.6% 56% 33% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover58.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.6% 33% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -30.0% 22% -19.4%
15% -36.7% 11% -27.2%
20% -42.9% 0% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 41% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
40% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -25% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$17 · ×0.72 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses10 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)18 / 18
History coverage1d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day58.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 18 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $52 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 22 $52 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 22 $72 −$16 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 22 $102 +$25 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 22 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 22 $102 +$22 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 22 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 22 $122 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 22 $21 −$16 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 22 $51 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 22 $31 +$14 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 22 $72 +$12 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $21 −$7 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 22 $62 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 22 $62 +$26 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 22 $41 −$7 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 22 $21 −$10 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $50 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $66 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $55 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $70 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $124 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $31 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $44 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $31 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $11 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 59 history records