trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -13.1% | -21.4% | 36% | 36% | -18.7% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -11.7% | -20.2% | 29% | 29% | -18.3% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -11.7% | -20.2% | 29% | 29% | -18.3% |
| all | 14 | -11.7% | -20.2% | 29% | 29% | -18.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.2% | 29% | -18.3% |
| 10% | -27.8% | 21% | -26.1% |
| 15% | -34.8% | 7% | -33.3% |
| 20% | -41.2% | 0% | -39.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | $43 | $59 | +$16 (+36%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $33 | +$10 | +30% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $39 | +$10 | +25% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$2 | -24% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 17 | $5 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | +$1 | +18% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 16 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $66 | −$15 | -23% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$3 | -62% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $51 | −$22 | -43% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +43% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 11 | $95 | −$9 | -10% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 10 | $10 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele | Jun 10 | $10 | $0 | -5% |