Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:30:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x72cb…5962
crypto · 178 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$1,335 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,328 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$40
Realized+$1,328
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses86 / 88
Open positions4
Markets (closed)174 / 178
History coverage97d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day9.3
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 4 History 174 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$84
7 days+$167
14 days+$573
30 days+$1,182
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes 14¢ 11¢ $28 $21 −$7 (-25%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+5%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $4 $4 +$1 (+17%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026? Yes 7¢ 8¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+16%)
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 11? No 9¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? No 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 8? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $438 +$88 +20%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 11 $5 −$4 -77%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 10 $231 −$128 -56%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 10 $264 +$59 +22%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Jun 10 $265 +$24 +9%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June? Jun 10 $99 +$5 +5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 10 $82 +$28 +34%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 09 $48 +$2 +4%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June? Jun 08 $497 +$50 +10%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 07 $72 −$3 -4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Jun 05 $563 +$37 +7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $173 +$11 +6%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $9 +$41 +446%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $2 +$4 +192%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 31? Jun 01 $5 −$4 -87%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 31? May 31 $0 $0 +13%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May? May 30 $266 +$3 +1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? May 29 $2,328 +$362 +16%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026? May 29 $534 +$111 +21%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May? May 28 $133 +$53 +40%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? May 27 $68 −$22 -32%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May? May 26 $351 −$24 -7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? May 25 $344 +$83 +24%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May? May 25 $917 +$150 +16%
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 24? May 25 $28 −$16 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 24? May 24 $75 −$31 -41%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 24? May 23 $31 −$3 -11%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 Week of May 18 2026? May 21 $178 −$45 -25%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026? May 21 $23 +$6 +24%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,450 Week of May 18 2026? May 21 $291 +$103 +35%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May? May 21 $47 −$1 -3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 Week of May 18 2026? May 21 $86 +$17 +20%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of May 18 2026? May 21 $2 −$1 -54%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May? May 20 $33 −$3 -8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 20? May 20 $9 −$5 -54%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? May 19 $55 +$3 +5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 18 2026? May 19 $61 +$4 +6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? May 19 $85 −$4 -4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? May 19 $47 $0 +0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 18 2026? May 18 $66 +$45 +68%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 11 2026? May 15 $80 −$70 -88%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 Week of May 11 2026? May 15 $24 −$19 -79%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? May 15 $40 +$5 +13%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026? May 15 $475 +$96 +20%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of May 11 2026? May 15 $45 +$103 +232%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,600 Week of May 11 2026? May 15 $210 +$113 +54%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 15? May 14 $18 −$5 -28%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 11 2026? May 14 $64 −$26 -41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 58% +$788
other 33% +$589
crypto 8% −$45
tech 1% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY Yes 14¢ $29 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 10¢ $43 3h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $36 7h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 99¢ $270 7h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 69¢ $192 7h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 20¢ $59 20h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 24¢ $25 21h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 34¢ $20 21h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $68 21h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 21¢ $37 21h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 37h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $8 2d
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 99¢ $129 2d
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 96¢ $86 2d
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 82¢ $34 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $7 2d
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? SELL Yes 35¢ $102 2d
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 34¢ $52 2d
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 40¢ $8 2d
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 63¢ $3 2d
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 60¢ $30 2d
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 55¢ $54 2d
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 59¢ $51 2d
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,150 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $141 2d
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June? SELL Yes 100¢ $104 2d
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 8 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 2d
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June? BUY Yes 95¢ $99 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -1.7% -11.0% 75% 25% -4.0%
≤30d 53 +7.2% -3.0% 57% 36% +1.4%
≤90d 167 -2.2% -11.5% 50% 34% +1.4%
all 174 -3.6% -12.7% 49% 34% +1.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.7% 34% +1.2%
10% -21.1% 24% -8.5%
15% -28.7% 16% -17.3%
20% -35.7% 13% -25.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.63 · official $39.63 (match) · 929 history records