Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:24:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x72cf…26c7
crypto · 377 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,494 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,494 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized−$6,494
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses180 / 633
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)813 / 377
History coverage1d
Avg bet$175
Trades / day2282.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 813 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,494
7 days−$6,494
14 days−$6,494
30 days−$6,494
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 95¢ 68¢ $49 $36 −$14 (-28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 32¢ 32¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $165 −$165 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$343
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-48.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 813 -43.0% -48.5% 22% 12% -17.7%
≤30d 813 -43.0% -48.5% 22% 12% -17.7%
≤90d 813 -43.0% -48.5% 22% 12% -17.7%
all 813 -43.0% -48.5% 22% 12% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2282.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -48.5% 12% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -53.4% 10% -25.6%
15% -57.9% 9% -32.8%
20% -62.0% 8% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.57 · official $37.57 (match) · 3500 history records