Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:40:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x72d8…1ce9
crypto · 446 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,349 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,092 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,092
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses244 / 202
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$79
Open positions0
Markets (closed)446 / 446
History coverage199d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 446 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$672
7 days+$39
14 days+$81
30 days+$81
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 38¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Heroic 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B Team Falcons 74¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Vitality 63¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 10¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $2,997 +$1,090 +36%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $526 −$519 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $152 +$151 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $150 −$73 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$23 +91%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $645 −$641 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $501 +$100 +20%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $874 +$139 +16%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $505 +$368 +73%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $91 −$90 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $403 −$400 -99%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $9 −$9 -98%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $21 −$21 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $32 +$29 +90%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 03 $10 +$22 +213%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $21 +$21 +101%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner May 10 $19 −$19 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte - Map 2 Winner May 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner May 09 $11 +$14 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 04 $35 −$34 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET May 04 $20 +$15 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET May 04 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET May 04 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET May 04 $26 +$15 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET May 04 $29 +$24 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET May 04 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET May 04 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET May 04 $10 +$8 +78%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner May 03 $41 +$33 +81%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner May 03 $42 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET May 03 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET May 03 $5 −$5 -96%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Apr 29 $57 −$57 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Apr 29 $40 +$9 +22%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Apr 29 $50 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Apr 27 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Apr 27 $15 +$8 +54%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Apr 15 $344 −$341 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Apr 15 $289 +$55 +19%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Apr 15 $118 +$171 +145%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner Apr 15 $99 +$19 +19%
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Apr 15 $179 −$179 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Apr 14 $29 −$29 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Apr 14 $20 +$10 +51%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Apr 14 $55 −$54 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A Apr 14 $121 +$82 +68%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Apr 14 $25 +$5 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% −$141
crypto 44% −$702
politics 1% −$219
other 0% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 97¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 99¢ $4,087 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 72¢ $2,997 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 31¢ $101 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 46¢ $102 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 50¢ $102 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $0 27h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 99¢ $303 27h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 76¢ $222 27h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 49¢ $152 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $72 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $69 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $78 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $49 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 37¢ $43 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 82¢ $601 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 99¢ $601 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 82¢ $501 2d
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 17¢ $31 3d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 16¢ $10 3d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 27¢ $20 3d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 38¢ $31 3d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 27¢ $20 3d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL FURIA 99¢ $1,013 3d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 85¢ $874 3d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 100¢ $873 3d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 57¢ $505 3d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 51¢ $91 3d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 71¢ $403 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -33.2% -39.6% 43% 43% -9.0%
≤30d 19 -13.8% -22.0% 47% 47% -8.4%
≤90d 62 -20.8% -28.3% 48% 48% -14.3%
all 446 -9.8% -18.4% 55% 48% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.4% 48% -15.0%
10% -26.2% 39% -23.1%
15% -33.4% 29% -30.5%
20% -39.9% 23% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1047 history records