Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:01:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x72dc…2a8b
crypto · 35 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$12 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses17 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)35 / 35
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day56.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$22 +425%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +374%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$14
other 3% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-27.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -19.3% -27.0% 49% 20% +4.3%
≤30d 35 -19.3% -27.0% 49% 20% +4.3%
≤90d 35 -19.3% -27.0% 49% 20% +4.3%
all 35 -19.3% -27.0% 49% 20% +4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.0% 20% +4.3%
10% ← realistic here -34.0% 11% -5.7%
15% -40.4% 9% -14.8%
20% -46.2% 9% -23.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 78 history records