Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:11:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x72e0…0b96
politics · 274 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$64 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP politics specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses69 / 154
Open positions54
Markets (closed)223 / 274
History coverage5d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day712.6
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 54 History 223 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 100¢ 99¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 99¢ 99¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 99¢ 99¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No 100¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary Jun 12 $0 $0 -1%
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -13%
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $277 $0 -0%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $9 $0 -1%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $85 +$1 +1%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close Jun 12 $276 $0 -0%
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $70 $0 +0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $143 $0 -0%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $11 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $270 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $99 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $280 $0 -0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $3 $0 -2%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $4 $0 -1%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $163 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $184 $0 -0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June? Jun 12 $79 $0 -0%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $20 $0 -1%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $12 $0 -0%
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 12 $101 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $273 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $93 $0 -0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $164 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 12 $142 $0 -0%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Jun 12 $3 $0 +0%
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $11 $0 +0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $170 $0 -0%
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $8 $0 -1%
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $13 $0 +0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $171 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $12 $0 -0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $13 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $67 +$1 +2%
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 12 $117 $0 -0%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $166 $0 -0%
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $83 $0 -0%
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 12 $79 $0 -0%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $18 $0 -0%
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 12 $156 $0 -0%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $9 $0 -0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 12 $82 $0 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 12 $185 $0 -0%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 42% +$4
other 26% $0
economics 8% −$1
culture 8% $0
world 8% +$2
tech 6% +$3
crypto 1% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1 51m
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1 51m
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $0 51m
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $1 51m
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $2 51m
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close SELL No 100¢ $0 51m
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $1 51m
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $1 51m
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $2 51m
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $1 51m
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $1 51m
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? BUY No 100¢ $1 51m
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $1 51m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June? BUY No 100¢ $1 52m
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $2 52m
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO BUY No 100¢ $2 52m
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $0 52m
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju BUY No 100¢ $2 52m
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $0 52m
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $1 52m
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $95 52m
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1 52m
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $2 52m
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $2 53m
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $95 53m
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close SELL No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 223 +1.0% -8.6% 31% 4% -9.5%
≤30d 223 +1.0% -8.6% 31% 4% -9.5%
≤90d 223 +1.0% -8.6% 31% 4% -9.5%
all 223 +1.0% -8.6% 31% 4% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover712.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 4% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 2% -18.1%
15% -25.3% 1% -26.0%
20% -32.6% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.67 · official $29.80 · 3500 history records