Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T03:40:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
72 0x72ed…9e8d crypto 41 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable ⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$42 (-9%) realized −$42 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -38% what you keep after slip
Net edge-38%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate46%19W / 22L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day59.5pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit76%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 38% −$31
sports 35% −$9
other 26% −$30
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-26.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -18.9% -26.6% 46% 44% -23.8%
≤30d 41 -18.9% -26.6% 46% 44% -23.8%
≤90d 41 -18.9% -26.6% 46% 44% -23.8%
all 41 -18.9% -26.6% 46% 44% -23.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover59.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.6% 44% -23.8%
10% ← realistic here -33.6% 34% -31.1%
15% -40.0% 27% -37.8%
20% -45.9% 15% -43.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 38% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -26% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$8 · ×0.69 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses19 / 22
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)41 / 41
History coverage2d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day59.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 41 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 23 $17 −$7 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 23 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 23 $31 −$25 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 23 $26 +$18 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 23 $5 +$10 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 23 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 23 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 23 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 23 $5 +$1 +22%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $9 +$11 +123%
Norway vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime? Jun 23 $4 −$4 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 23 $11 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 22 $15 −$3 -19%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Jun 22 $15 +$8 +50%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $20 +$4 +20%
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 22 $1 −$1 -98%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $37 −$35 -96%
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime? Jun 22 $18 −$13 -70%
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Egypt? Jun 22 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 1 Cabo Verde? Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 22 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? Jun 22 $56 +$22 +39%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime? Jun 21 $15 −$6 -36%
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? Jun 21 $15 +$7 +45%
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 IR Iran? Jun 21 $3 $0 +2%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $8 −$3 -37%
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Draw at halftime? Jun 21 $5 +$3 +66%
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Neither team to score first? Jun 21 $5 −$1 -24%
IR Iran to score first vs. Belgium? Jun 21 $4 −$2 -66%
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5 Jun 21 $11 +$3 +27%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 21 $3 +$1 +23%
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia? Jun 21 $5 −$5 -97%
Spain to score first vs. Saudi Arabia? Jun 21 $5 +$1 +14%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals Jun 21 $5 +$5 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2h
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 91¢ $20 2h
Norway vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 97 history records