Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T12:46:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
72 0x72ed…13bc crypto 1468 markets active 1h ago coverage 31d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 31d only
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$1,055 (-1%) realized −$1,055 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate95%1389W / 79L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$65per market
Trades / day52.7pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$267
7 days−$568
14 days−$386
30 days−$330
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% +$46
other 13% −$24
sports 0% −$320
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 418 -0.0% -9.5% 96% 1% -11.5%
≤30d 1451 -1.5% -10.8% 95% 3% -9.7%
≤90d 1468 -0.7% -10.1% 95% 4% -9.7%
all 1468 -0.7% -10.1% 95% 4% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 4% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 2% -18.3%
15% -26.6% 2% -26.2%
20% -33.8% 1% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$29 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

31d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,055
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1389 / 79
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1468 / 1468
History coverage31d ⚠
Avg bet$65
Trades / day52.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1468 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $99 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$4 +4%
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 15 $322 −$320 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $49 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $50 +$2 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $44 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$3 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$5 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $47 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$5 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $80 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $56 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Ilia Topuria 81¢ $322 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $29 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $34 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 13h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 13h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $43 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $34 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 14h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $40 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $49 15h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $47 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records