Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x72f0…ba3a
crypto · 454 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$112 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$112 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$112
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses344 / 110
Open positions0
Markets (closed)454 / 454
History coverage51d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day19.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 454 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$80
7 days−$34
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$23 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$17 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$15 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$17 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$14 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$8 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$10 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$21 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$26 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$28 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$24 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$17 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$26 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$11 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$9 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$7 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$10 -52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$112
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $17 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $15 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $35 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $33 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $33 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $35 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 388 +1.9% -7.8% 77% 57% -9.7%
≤30d 425 +1.8% -7.9% 77% 57% -9.6%
≤90d 454 +1.2% -8.5% 76% 57% -10.5%
all 454 +1.2% -8.5% 76% 57% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.5% 57% -10.5%
10% -17.2% 13% -19.1%
15% -25.2% 4% -26.9%
20% -32.6% 3% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.53 · official $0.00 (match) · 1025 history records