Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:22:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
72 0x72f6…0e0a crypto 639 markets active 0h ago coverage 21d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (87 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$155 (-3%) realized −$155 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate66%424W / 215L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day86.8pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$42
14 days−$248
30 days−$284
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$274
other 2% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (87 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 246 +2.1% -7.6% 83% 22% -13.1%
≤30d 639 -1.3% -10.7% 66% 30% -14.5%
≤90d 639 -1.3% -10.7% 66% 30% -14.5%
all 639 -1.3% -10.7% 66% 30% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover86.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 30% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 18% -22.7%
15% -27.1% 10% -30.1%
20% -34.2% 4% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
53% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$155
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses424 / 215
Open positions0
Markets (closed)639 / 639
History coverage21d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day86.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 639 Trades
no open positions (45 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2408 history records