Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:12:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x7305…0c7b
crypto · 171 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$6 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses68 / 103
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)171 / 171
History coverage10d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day66.1
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 0 History 171 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$16
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Toronto Blue Jays 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
O/U 2.5 Rounds Under 52¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5) Tampa Bay Rays 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Joanderson Brito win by KO or TKO? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
O/U 1.5 Rounds Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
O/U 2.5 Rounds Jun 12 $13 −$2 -18%
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? Jun 12 $24 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$74 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$42 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $66 +$15 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$15 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$14 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$38 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $64 +$27 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$33 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $7 −$4 -57%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $3 $0 -13%
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $7 −$1 -8%
Will Turkiye reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -22%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $9 −$1 -14%
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Jun 12 $5 $0 -10%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -7%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $15 −$1 -5%
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $19 −$1 -4%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $30 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $6 +$15 +246%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $30 −$19 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$44 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$17 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$12 +61%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$6 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$17 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -95%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$35 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$42 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -95%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$8 +32%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 $0 -2%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $17 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% +$68
sports 13% −$19
other 11% −$43
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $31 1h
O/U 1.5 Rounds SELL Under 46¢ $5 1h
O/U 2.5 Rounds SELL Under 54¢ $8 1h
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? SELL Yes 70¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $76 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $76 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $11 1h
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 72¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 170 -5.2% -14.2% 40% 38% -7.0%
≤30d 171 -5.7% -14.7% 40% 37% -7.4%
≤90d 171 -5.7% -14.7% 40% 37% -7.4%
all 171 -5.7% -14.7% 40% 37% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 37% -7.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 34% -16.3%
15% -30.3% 31% -24.4%
20% -37.2% 26% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 690 history records