Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:01:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x7306…a4c6
crypto · 1526 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$76 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$76 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$76
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses879 / 647
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1526 / 1526
History coverage15d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day135.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1526 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$79
14 days−$111
30 days−$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$76
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 428 -1.4% -10.8% 63% 60% -13.5%
≤30d 1526 +1.4% -8.3% 58% 54% -10.5%
≤90d 1526 +1.4% -8.3% 58% 54% -10.5%
all 1526 +1.4% -8.3% 58% 54% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover135.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 54% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 51% -19.1%
15% -25.1% 42% -26.9%
20% -32.4% 30% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records