Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:11:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
73 0x7310…54a1 crypto 1189 markets active 0h ago coverage 36d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 36d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (66 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$532 (-1%) realized −$532 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR7%break-even
Win rate89%1106W / 130L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$43per market
Trades / day65.9pace
Kalshi-fit53%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 36d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 64% −$168
crypto 36% −$734
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (66 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 138 -35.8% -41.9% 58% 11% -46.8%
≤30d 863 -7.1% -16.0% 87% 10% -14.5%
≤90d 1236 -5.1% -14.2% 89% 7% -13.2%
all 1236 -5.1% -14.2% 89% 7% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 7% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 2% -21.5%
15% -29.9% 1% -29.1%
20% -36.8% 0% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$30 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.32 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$532
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1106 / 130
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1236 / 1189
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$43
Trades / day65.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit53%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1236 Trades
no open positions (93 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$10 -148%
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$5 -1681%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 18 $200 −$200 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - March 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 18 $55 −$258 -466%
XRP Up or Down - January 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $300 −$300 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 18 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $250 −$250 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - December 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 18 $26 −$292 -1112%
Solana Up or Down - January 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 18 $30 −$30 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $5 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $4 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $25 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records