Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:01:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x731a…033f
other · 850 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$15,063 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$15,356 · open −$293
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$3,687
Realized+$15,356
Unrealized−$293
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses813 / 31
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions2
Markets (closed)844 / 850
Avg bet$3,547
Trades / day80.6
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit46%
Chart Positions 2 History 844 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$512
7 days+$611
14 days+$5,312
30 days+$9,953
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? Yes 98¢ 94¢ $3,656 $3,498 −$159 (-4%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? Yes 99¢ 58¢ $324 $190 −$134 (-41%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,650 +$2 +0%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $679 +$1 +0%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $10,613 +$11 +0%
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $150 $0 +0%
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $55 $0 +0%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $55 $0 +0%
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $46 $0 +0%
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $145 $0 +0%
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $181 $0 +0%
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $153 $0 +0%
Will PPI YoY be between 6.0% and 6.9% in May? Jun 11 $1,945 +$55 +3%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in June? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will PPI YoY be at least 8.0% in May? Jun 11 $999 +$1 +0%
Will PPI YoY be between 3.0% and 3.9% in May? Jun 11 $568 +$1 +0%
Will PPI YoY be below 3.0% in May? Jun 11 $678 +$1 +0%
Will PPI YoY be between 7.0% and 7.9% in May? Jun 11 $995 +$5 +0%
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May? Jun 11 $995 +$5 +0%
Will PPI YoY be between 4.0% and 4.9% in May? Jun 11 $40 $0 +0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in June? Jun 11 $213 $0 +0%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? Jun 11 $4,927 +$85 +2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Jun 11 $7,561 +$112 +2%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 11 $75 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 10? Jun 10 $2,997 +$3 +0%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $104 $0 +0%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $9,990 +$10 +0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June? Jun 10 $1,962 +$2 +0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 10 $29 $0 +0%
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $95 $0 +0%
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $35 $0 +0%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $223 $0 +0%
Micron (MU) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $12 $0 +0%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $76 $0 +0%
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $145 $0 +0%
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $191 $0 +0%
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $153 $0 +0%
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? Jun 10 $4,171 +$11 +0%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in May? Jun 10 $448 +$4 +1%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% in May? Jun 10 $198 +$2 +1%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in May? Jun 10 $173 +$2 +1%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in May? Jun 10 $151 +$2 +1%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in May? Jun 10 $188 +$35 +19%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in May? Jun 10 $175 +$75 +43%
Will Core CPI MoM be -0.1% in May? Jun 10 $151 +$2 +1%
Will Core CPI MoM be -0.2% in May? Jun 10 $151 +$2 +1%
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May? Jun 10 $247 +$3 +1%
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May? Jun 10 $5,690 +$11 +0%
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May? Jun 10 $18 $0 +1%
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May? Jun 10 $6 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 41% $0
crypto 21% +$859
other 20% +$7,787
finance 10% +$1,019
tech 5% +$5,912
sports 2% +$183
world 1% −$766
economics 0% +$181
weather 0% −$110
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $39 1m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $270 3m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026? BUY Yes 99¢ $14 3m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? BUY Yes 98¢ $3,659 3m
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $1 9h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $1,650 10h
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $678 11h
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $1 11h
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $55 11h
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $55 11h
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $16 11h
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $29 11h
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 100¢ $5 11h
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $5 12h
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $145 12h
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $145 12h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $50 12h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $1,581 13h
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $12 14h
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $168 14h
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $3 15h
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $150 16h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $54 16h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $210 16h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $1 17h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $5 17h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $5 17h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $350 17h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $608 17h
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 100¢ $25 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 190 +1.1% -8.5% 97% 2% -9.5%
≤30d 824 +1.8% -7.9% 96% 2% -9.2%
≤90d 844 +3.3% -6.5% 96% 3% -9.1%
all 844 +3.3% -6.5% 96% 3% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover80.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.5% 3% -9.1%
10% -15.5% 2% -17.8%
15% ← realistic here -23.6% 2% -25.7%
20% -31.1% 2% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,687.29 · official $3,687.29 (match) · 3500 history records