Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:53:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x731c…98ca
crypto · 1068 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$200 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$200 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized−$200
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses887 / 176
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1063 / 1068
History coverage61d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day21.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 5 History 1063 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days−$185
14 days−$189
30 days−$310
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+4%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+79%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 7¢ 4¢ $8 $4 −$4 (-49%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +24%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$222
other 6% +$22
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 10h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 14h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 25h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 26h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 27h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 27h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 30h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 654 -3.9% -13.0% 79% 76% -13.3%
≤30d 777 -5.3% -14.3% 79% 70% -12.2%
≤90d 1063 -3.0% -12.2% 83% 54% -10.9%
all 1063 -3.0% -12.2% 83% 54% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 54% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 15% -19.4%
15% -28.3% 3% -27.2%
20% -35.3% 2% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.86 · official $37.75 (match) · 2456 history records