trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +56.0% | +41.2% | 64% | 57% | +20.5% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +56.0% | +41.2% | 64% | 57% | +20.5% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +36.5% | +23.5% | 56% | 50% | +7.5% |
| all | 121 | -2.3% | -11.6% | 51% | 46% | -11.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.6% | 46% | -11.8% |
| 10% | -20.0% | 43% | -20.3% |
| 15% | -27.8% | 35% | -28.0% |
| 20% | -34.8% | 31% | -35.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 71¢ | 70¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Over | 49¢ | 48¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 16¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+23%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners | Jun 15 | $5 | +$7 | +134% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $2 | +$8 | +414% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$16 | +81% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $5 | +$6 | +114% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$5 | +54% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $8 | +$3 | +40% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$8 | +414% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $7 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $7 | +$2 | +31% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $13 | −$13 | -99% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | Apr 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Valorant: FULL SENSE vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group O | Apr 04 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago | Mar 15 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoff | Mar 14 | $8 | +$8 | +100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11? | Mar 12 | $4 | +$4 | +109% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Play | Mar 11 | $3 | +$11 | +350% |
| Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winner | Mar 10 | $3 | +$1 | +25% |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers | Feb 20 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Valorant: MIBR vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | Feb 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Oly | Feb 14 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Lakers | Feb 14 | $4 | +$2 | +39% |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Feb 14 | $1 | $0 | +16% |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs | Feb 14 | $3 | +$3 | +88% |
| Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffs | Feb 14 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Nets | Feb 12 | $1 | +$2 | +175% |
| Bucks vs. Magic | Feb 12 | $5 | +$4 | +82% |
| Spurs vs. Warriors | Feb 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Raptors | Feb 12 | $14 | +$4 | +27% |
| Bulls vs. Celtics | Feb 12 | $1 | $0 | +25% |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Feb 11 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | Feb 11 | $1 | +$1 | +68% |
| Pacers vs. Knicks | Feb 11 | $2 | +$5 | +229% |
| Clippers vs. Rockets | Feb 11 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | Feb 10 | $4 | +$1 | +28% |
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors | Feb 10 | $6 | −$2 | -33% |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Feb 10 | $10 | +$7 | +69% |
| Cavaliers vs. Nuggets | Feb 10 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Nets | Feb 09 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Pelicans | Feb 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 09 | $40 | −$11 | -26% |
| Clippers vs. Timberwolves | Feb 08 | $3 | +$1 | +27% |
| Cavaliers vs. Kings | Feb 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Lakers | Feb 08 | $6 | +$3 | +50% |
| Rockets vs. Thunder | Feb 07 | $2 | +$1 | +58% |
| Clippers vs. Kings | Feb 07 | $2 | +$1 | +61% |