Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:10:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
73 0x7331…910a crypto 338 markets active 2d ago coverage 72d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 72d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$14,283 (-79%) realized −$14,283 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -67% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -75% what you keep after slip
Net edge-75%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate14%90W / 568L
Whale WR0%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$54per market
Trades / day44.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 72d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$5,463
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-70.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 335 -90.4% -91.3% 3% 3% -98.0%
≤30d 342 -90.3% -91.2% 3% 3% -97.6%
≤90d 658 -67.4% -70.5% 14% 12% -79.8%
all 658 -67.4% -70.5% 14% 12% -79.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover44.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -70.5% 12% -79.8%
10% ← realistic here -73.3% 11% -81.8%
15% -75.9% 10% -83.5%
20% -78.3% 8% -85.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -78% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -67% · $-wt -78% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 0% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -44% → late -90% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
9.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$36 vs −$71 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.08 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

72d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$14,283
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses90 / 568
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)658 / 338
History coverage72d ⚠
Avg bet$54
Trades / day44.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 658 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 15 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $127 −$77 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $163 −$163 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $240 −$240 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $44 −$30 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $262 −$262 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 15 $110 −$125 -113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $42 −$45 -107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $199 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $44 −$29 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $298 −$298 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $565 −$565 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $14 +$20 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $91 −$91 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $257 −$257 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $224 −$224 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $301 −$301 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 15 $137 −$137 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $156 −$156 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$23 -439%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $60 −$60 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $9 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $9 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records