Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:06:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x733b…b921
sports · 178 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$546 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$546 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$0
Realized+$546
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses154 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Est. fees paid−$99
Open positions0
Markets (closed)178 / 178
History coverage73d
Avg bet$416
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown77%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 178 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$161
14 days−$292
30 days−$728
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 98¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner Gen.G Global Academy 95¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 81¢ $320 $0 −$320 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 89¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 95¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 78¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 88¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 97¢ $285 $0 −$285 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 73¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 80¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner Ninjas in Pyjamas 89¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana EDward Gaming 80¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $13 −$10 -74%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $13 +$1 +5%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $12 +$1 +7%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $7 +$5 +65%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $35 −$21 -59%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $30 −$1 -4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $69 −$69 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $67 +$2 +3%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $65 +$3 +4%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $62 +$2 +4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $61 +$1 +2%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $58 +$3 +5%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $56 +$2 +3%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $50 +$3 +6%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $20 +$2 +11%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $30 +$1 +3%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $28 +$3 +9%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $40 −$40 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $86 +$2 +2%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $78 +$8 +11%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $38 +$3 +8%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $34 +$2 +7%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $34 +$4 +13%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $50 −$23 -47%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $38 +$3 +8%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $86 +$2 +2%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 01 $90 −$25 -28%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $50 −$32 -63%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $136 +$8 +6%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner May 31 $31 +$2 +5%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $100 +$3 +3%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 May 31 $10 +$4 +39%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $100 +$11 +11%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $110 +$5 +4%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $50 +$5 +10%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $55 +$2 +3%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $140 −$44 -31%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 30 $140 +$6 +4%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner May 30 $130 +$5 +4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 30 $50 +$5 +11%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 30 $122 +$4 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $50 +$7 +14%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 30 $120 +$1 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 30 $100 +$4 +4%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $200 +$6 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$546
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $4 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 94¢ $4 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $4 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 90¢ $4 2h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $4 2h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 95¢ $4 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 25¢ $3 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 94¢ $13 4h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner BUY Galions 95¢ $13 20h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win SELL Top Esports Challenger 100¢ $13 21h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win BUY Top Esports Challenger 93¢ $12 25h
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 60¢ $7 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $7 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 97¢ $7 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Anyones Legend 19¢ $7 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 73¢ $28 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 77¢ $29 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 79¢ $30 4d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Dplus KIA 89¢ $50 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 98¢ $69 5d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner SELL Top Esports 100¢ $69 5d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 97¢ $67 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner SELL KT Rolster 100¢ $68 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 96¢ $65 5d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner SELL Top Esports 100¢ $65 5d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 96¢ $62 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner SELL Dplus KIA 100¢ $62 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 98¢ $61 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner SELL Dplus KIA 100¢ $61 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA 95¢ $58 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -14.3% -22.4% 74% 13% -24.8%
≤30d 111 -8.0% -16.7% 81% 19% -15.9%
≤90d 178 -4.7% -13.8% 87% 16% -8.8%
all 178 -4.7% -13.8% 87% 16% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.8% 16% -8.8%
10% -22.0% 2% -17.6%
15% -29.6% 1% -25.5%
20% -36.5% 1% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 381 history records