trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +20.5% | +9.0% | 50% | 50% | +17.0% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +25.3% | +13.3% | 56% | 56% | +19.5% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +9.9% | -0.5% | 44% | 44% | -11.3% |
| all | 25 | +9.9% | -0.5% | 44% | 44% | -11.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.5% | 44% | -11.3% |
| 10% | -10.0% | 40% | -19.8% |
| 15% | -18.7% | 40% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -26.7% | 32% | -34.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $70 | $69 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $51 | −$12 | -24% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $31 | +$80 | +262% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $31 | +$106 | +344% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 24 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $81 | +$44 | +55% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $71 | +$37 | +52% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $43 | +$55 | +128% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $57 | +$28 | +50% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $103 | +$19 | +19% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $46 | +$22 | +48% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $27 | +$19 | +70% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 29 | $218 | −$214 | -98% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? | May 23 | $3,002 | −$2,957 | -98% |
| Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02? | May 02 | $1,000 | −$989 | -99% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | Apr 29 | $2,085 | −$2,043 | -98% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | Apr 14 | $2,583 | −$2,522 | -98% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10? | Apr 10 | $1,144 | −$1,135 | -99% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08? | Apr 08 | $2,077 | +$9,167 | +441% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04? | Apr 04 | $2,300 | −$2,253 | -98% |
| Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04? | Apr 04 | $2,331 | +$2,380 | +102% |