Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:58:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x7366…d1aa
sports · 163 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$30 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$80 · open +$29
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$360
Realized−$80
Unrealized+$29
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses106 / 51
Est. fees paid−$48
Open positions6
Markets (closed)157 / 163
History coverage25d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day15.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 6 History 157 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$129
7 days+$300
14 days−$143
30 days−$80
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 13¢ 15¢ $100 $117 +$17 (+17%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score No 59¢ 58¢ $60 $59 −$1 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 Under 69¢ 72¢ $50 $52 +$2 (+4%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score No 51¢ 51¢ $52 $52 +$0 (+0%)
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 17¢ 22¢ $34 $43 +$9 (+26%)
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Germany 33¢ 34¢ $35 $37 +$2 (+5%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 55¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Yes 77¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Under 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Petr Brunclik 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5 Over 38¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
England vs. New Zealand: Draw at halftime? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
United States vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 Under 29¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5) Sabalenka 85¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5 Under 42¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Madison Keys 54¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Perugia: Marco Cecchinato vs Timofey Skatov Marco Cecchinato 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $44 +$36 +83%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $65 +$35 +55%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $43 +$17 +40%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $70 +$40 +57%
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5) Jun 13 $27 +$20 +76%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $33 +$17 +52%
Alexander Bublik vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 13 $33 −$32 -99%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $43 −$42 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $54 +$28 +52%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $32 +$13 +41%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $41 +$19 +47%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $54 +$46 +85%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $41 +$28 +69%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $40 +$17 +42%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Portugal O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $50 +$19 +38%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $40 +$20 +50%
Hubert Hurkacz vs. Marton Fucsovics: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $51 +$47 +93%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $61 +$26 +44%
Marin Cilic vs. Denis Shapovalov: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $51 +$48 +94%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5) Jun 07 $119 −$119 -100%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $26 −$25 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marcos Giron Jun 07 $51 −$2 -3%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jurij Rodionov Jun 07 $202 +$21 +10%
Set 1 Winner: Shimabukuro vs Rodionov Jun 07 $169 −$25 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 06 $26 +$13 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 06 $43 −$41 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 06 $52 −$25 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 06 $40 +$19 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 06 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 06 $55 +$9 +17%
England vs. New Zealand: Draw at halftime? Jun 06 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $42 +$1 +2%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $141 +$3 +2%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 06 $25 $0 -2%
Perugia: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrino Jun 06 $1 $0 +32%
Australia vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $59 −$58 -99%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $40 +$18 +46%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 06 $25 +$7 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 06 $26 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 06 $76 +$15 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 06 $27 +$27 +103%
Matteo Arnaldi vs. Flavio Cobolli: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $33 −$2 -5%
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $31 +$11 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 49% −$107
crypto 39% +$92
other 12% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score BUY No 51¢ $53 30m
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score BUY No 59¢ $61 41m
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 13¢ $103 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 BUY Under 69¢ $50 4h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Germany 33¢ $36 4h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic BUY Daniil Medvedev 65¢ $33 28h
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5) BUY Minaur 56¢ $27 28h
Alexander Bublik vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 49¢ $1 28h
Alexander Bublik vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 49¢ $2 28h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $33 28h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 63¢ $70 28h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $65 28h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $44 28h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 0.5 BUY Under 42¢ $43 28h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 71¢ $43 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 91¢ $82 43h
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 17¢ $35 47h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $54 47h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Under 40¢ $10 2d
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Under 40¢ $30 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 68¢ $41 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 SELL Under 96¢ $0 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 SELL Under 96¢ $8 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 SELL Under 96¢ $5 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 SELL Under 96¢ $49 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 SELL Under 96¢ $3 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 SELL Under 96¢ $3 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 BUY Over 54¢ $47 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 BUY Over 54¢ $7 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 BUY Under 56¢ $41 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +18.2% +6.9% 74% 74% +18.4%
≤30d 157 -5.6% -14.6% 68% 42% -10.6%
≤90d 157 -5.6% -14.6% 68% 42% -10.6%
all 157 -5.6% -14.6% 68% 42% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.6% 42% -10.6%
10% -22.7% 31% -19.1%
15% -30.2% 22% -26.9%
20% -37.0% 13% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $359.91 · official $359.92 (match) · 483 history records