Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T19:11:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
73 0x737e…de01 sports 1625 markets active 0h ago coverage 20d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d only
✗ bot/MM pace (92 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$10 (-0%) realized −$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%1589W / 3L
Drawdown89%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day92.1pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$229now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$2
14 days+$8
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 59% +$6
weather 39% +$5
other 2% +$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (92 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 791 -0.1% -9.6% 100% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 1592 +0.0% -9.5% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1592 +0.0% -9.5% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 1592 +0.0% -9.5% 100% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover92.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 0% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$6 · ×0.0 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.62 per $1 lost it wins $1.62
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$229
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1589 / 3
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions29
Markets (closed)1592 / 1625
History coverage20d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day92.1
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 29 History 1592 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 27? No 99¢ 100¢ $28 $28 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on June 27? No 99¢ 99¢ $28 $28 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+0%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Group Stage Fluxo W7M 100¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+0%)
Fight to Go the Distance? No 100¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+0%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Help Us LFO vs Can You Be My Enemy (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 1 Group Stage Help Us LFO 100¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Map Handicap: UNO (-1.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+1.5) UNO MILLE 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Telacy - Game 1 Winner Al Qadsiah 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or below on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Wingman (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group D ENJOY 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 24°C on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C or below on June 28? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 4 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Rainbow Six Siege: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO1) - South America League Jun 27 $7 $0 +0%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 27 $7 $0 +0%
Will the fight be won by submission? Jun 27 $7 $0 +0%
Will Michel Pereira win by KO or TKO? Jun 27 $7 $0 +0%
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of Duty L Jun 27 $7 $0 +0%
Will Shara Magomedov win by KO or TKO? Jun 27 $7 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 27 $7 $0 +0%
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 4 Winner Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 Jun 27 $5 $0 +1%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? Jun 27 $12 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? Jun 27 $7 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota - Game 1 Winner Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 27? Jun 27 $14 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 27 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 20°C or below on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 27? Jun 27 $14 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C or higher on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 24°C or below on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Montes vs. Kopp: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win by KO or TKO? Jun 27 $7 $0 +0%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? Jun 27 $7 $0 +0%
Rainbow Six Siege: SCARZ vs FearX (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC Nor Jun 27 $12 $0 +0%
Will Julius Walker win by KO or TKO? Jun 27 $7 $0 +0%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 27 $7 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or below on June 27? Jun 27 $10 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 27? Jun 27 $4 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C or below on June 27? Jun 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 27? Jun 27 $1 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Fight to Go the Distance? BUY No 100¢ $7 7m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 27? BUY No 100¢ $5 7m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 27? BUY No 100¢ $14 15m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on June 27? BUY No 99¢ $28 15m
Fight to Go the Distance? BUY Yes 100¢ $7 37m
Will Shara Magomedov win by KO or TKO? BUY No 100¢ $7 37m
Will Michel Pereira win by KO or TKO? BUY No 100¢ $7 37m
Will the fight be won by submission? BUY No 100¢ $7 37m
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 54m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 27? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 28? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Rainbow Six Siege: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO1) - South America League Stage BUY Fluxo W7M 100¢ $7 1h
Rainbow Six Siege: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO1) - South America League Stage BUY Fluxo W7M 100¢ $5 1h
Map Handicap: UNO (-1.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+1.5) BUY UNO MILLE 100¢ $5 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 28? BUY No 100¢ $1 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 28? BUY No 100¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 27? BUY No 99¢ $28 1h
Overwatch: Al Qadsiah vs Telacy - Game 1 Winner BUY Al Qadsiah 100¢ $5 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 28? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on June 28? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 27? BUY No 100¢ $14 2h
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of Duty L BUY Los Angeles Thieves 100¢ $7 2h
Rainbow Six Siege: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO1) - South America League BUY FURIA Esports 100¢ $7 2h
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Wingman (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Closed Qualifi BUY ENJOY 100¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner BUY Inner Circle Esports 100¢ $5 2h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 100¢ $7 2h
Fight to Go the Distance? BUY No 99¢ $7 2h
Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 4 Winner BUY FaZe Vegas 100¢ $5 2h
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? BUY Over 100¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $228.61 · official $226.00 · 3500 history records