Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:12:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x7399…46d6
other · 233 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,888 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,186 · open +$1,426
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34,271
Realized+$2,186
Unrealized+$1,426
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses101 / 49
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions148
Markets (closed)150 / 233
History coverage11d
Avg bet$345
Trades / day319.9
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit51%
Chart Positions 148 History 150 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,419
7 days+$2,096
14 days+$2,186
30 days+$2,186
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 87¢ 94¢ $20,880 $22,536 +$1,656 (+8%)
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No 99¢ 99¢ $197 $197 +$0 (+0%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? No 98¢ 97¢ $195 $194 −$1 (-1%)
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 98¢ 97¢ $194 $193 −$1 (-1%)
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 95¢ 89¢ $191 $178 −$13 (-7%)
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 +$0 (+0%)
Will XRP reach $1.80 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $98 $99 +$0 (+0%)
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 −$0 (-0%)
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? No 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $98 $99 +$0 (+0%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? No 98¢ 99¢ $98 $99 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 99¢ 99¢ $99 $98 −$0 (-0%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No 99¢ 98¢ $99 $98 −$0 (-1%)
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 99¢ 99¢ $98 $98 +$0 (+0%)
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 98¢ $99 $98 −$1 (-1%)
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 99¢ 99¢ $98 $98 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 99¢ 99¢ $98 $98 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No 99¢ 98¢ $99 $98 −$1 (-1%)
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 98¢ 98¢ $98 $98 +$0 (+0%)
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? No 98¢ 98¢ $98 $98 +$0 (+0%)
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 98¢ $98 $98 −$1 (-1%)
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 99¢ 99¢ $98 $98 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? No 98¢ 98¢ $99 $98 −$1 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April? Jun 12 $1 +$5 +498%
Will XRP reach $2.40 in April? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? Jun 12 $1 +$4 +697%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -86%
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +981%
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? Jun 12 $88 +$3 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? Jun 12 $742 +$4 +0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $791 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? Jun 12 $939 +$2 +0%
Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $594 $0 -0%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? Jun 12 $402 $0 -0%
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? Jun 12 $112 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $827 +$99 +12%
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 12 $195 +$1 +0%
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $592 $0 -0%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Jun 12 $274 +$1 +0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $1,155 +$1 +0%
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $989 +$1 +0%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $87 $0 +0%
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $593 +$100 +17%
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $296 +$100 +34%
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $1,087 +$100 +9%
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $93 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June? Jun 12 $394 +$2 +1%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 12 $874 +$188 +22%
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $273 +$4 +2%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22? Jun 12 $189 +$1 +1%
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $198 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $392 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June? Jun 12 $586 $0 +0%
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domest Jun 12 $473 −$3 -0%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $99 +$99 +100%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? Jun 12 $1,096 +$2 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $97 $0 +0%
Netanyahu out by June 30? Jun 12 $851 $0 +0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $669 +$98 +15%
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? Jun 11 $92 +$4 +4%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $252 +$97 +39%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Jun 11 $388 +$2 +0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $99 +$98 +100%
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $198 $0 +0%
Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $99 $0 -0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 11 $1,135 +$190 +17%
Will G2 reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $92 +$1 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? Jun 11 $498 +$1 +0%
Will Solana reach $90 in June? Jun 11 $123 +$2 +2%
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026? Jun 11 $64 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? Jun 11 $264 +$4 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 57% +$2,602
crypto 20% −$117
world 11% +$656
sports 4% +$74
economics 3% +$194
tech 2% −$4
culture 2% +$197
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? SELL No 91¢ $27 6m
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? SELL No 91¢ $43 6m
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? BUY No 93¢ $48 10m
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? BUY No 93¢ $20 10m
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? SELL No 90¢ $79 18m
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? SELL No 90¢ $10 18m
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? SELL No 93¢ $20 24m
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 96¢ $1 24m
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 96¢ $27 28m
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? SELL No 94¢ $11 30m
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 95¢ $67 42m
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $20 55m
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $20 57m
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $40 57m
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? SELL No 98¢ $5 57m
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? BUY No 98¢ $5 59m
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $40 59m
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? SELL No 98¢ $5 59m
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $40 59m
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $40 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? SELL No 96¢ $8 1h
Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $99 1h
Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $99 1h
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 96¢ $27 1h
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? SELL No 93¢ $49 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? SELL No 96¢ $96 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 96¢ $96 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? SELL No 96¢ $8 1h
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? SELL No 91¢ $20 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)+6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 135 +19.9% +8.5% 71% 15% -5.6%
≤30d 150 +18.2% +6.9% 67% 14% -5.6%
≤90d 150 +18.2% +6.9% 67% 14% -5.6%
all 150 +18.2% +6.9% 67% 14% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover319.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.9% 14% -5.6%
10% ← realistic here -3.3% 9% -14.6%
15% -12.7% 6% -22.9%
20% -21.2% 5% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34,270.51 · official $34,263.49 (match) · 3500 history records