trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -30.1% | -36.8% | 46% | 38% | -59.5% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -25.3% | -32.5% | 50% | 43% | -58.9% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -25.3% | -32.5% | 50% | 43% | -58.9% |
| all | 14 | -25.3% | -32.5% | 50% | 43% | -58.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.5% | 43% | -58.9% |
| 10% | -38.9% | 43% | -62.8% |
| 15% | -44.8% | 36% | -66.4% |
| 20% | -50.2% | 14% | -69.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 69¢ | 76¢ | $20 | $22 | +$2 (+11%) |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | No | 51¢ | 50¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 63¢ | 46¢ | $20 | $14 | −$6 (-28%) |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 84¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+17%) |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | No | 50¢ | 48¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $21 | +$8 | +38% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 | Jun 17 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $53 | +$56 | +106% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $261 | −$258 | -99% |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$3 | +83% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $6 | +$3 | +41% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $3 | +$1 | +30% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 | Jun 12 | $21 | +$2 | +9% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 11 | $3 | +$1 | +37% |