Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:30:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x7399…ef2e
crypto · 618 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$32 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized−$30
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses327 / 294
Open positions2
Markets (closed)621 / 618
History coverage2d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day1622.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 621 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days−$30
14 days−$30
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $8 $24 +$15 (+189%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 48¢ 74¢ $6 $9 +$3 (+53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 50¢ 26¢ $9 $5 −$4 (-47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$8 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$6 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$16 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$11 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$12 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$7 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$9 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$15 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$9 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$10 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$6 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$32 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$6 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$15 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 621 -2.0% -11.4% 53% 42% -9.8%
≤30d 621 -2.0% -11.4% 53% 42% -9.8%
≤90d 621 -2.0% -11.4% 53% 42% -9.8%
all 621 -2.0% -11.4% 53% 42% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1622.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 42% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 32% -18.5%
15% -27.6% 22% -26.3%
20% -34.7% 15% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.69 · official $45.76 (match) · 3500 history records