Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:53:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73b0…d149
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$64 +36%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$51 · open +$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$55
Realized+$51
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses4 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)6 / 7
History coverage10d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 1 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$62
7 days+$52
14 days+$51
30 days+$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 73¢ 99¢ $41 $55 +$14 (+35%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $53 +$54 +102%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $18 +$8 +44%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 92% +$76
sports 6% −$10
crypto 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 73¢ $40 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 71¢ $48 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 73¢ $50 1h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $26 25h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $8 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 36¢ $17 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $18 4d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $18 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +15.2% +4.3% 67% 67% +48.3%
≤30d 6 -7.4% -16.3% 67% 33% +44.6%
≤90d 6 -7.4% -16.3% 67% 33% +44.6%
all 6 -7.4% -16.3% 67% 33% +44.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.3% 33% +44.6%
10% -24.3% 33% +30.7%
15% -31.6% 33% +18.1%
20% -38.3% 17% +6.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.00 · official $55.00 (match) · 19 history records